BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 6am EDT? — $79,300 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-09T10:00
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 34d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-09T08:09:44
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty one-second readings of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) from 5:59:00 to 5:59:59 EDT on September 9, 2026, is strictly greater than 79,299.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks (Bitcoin Real-Time Index BRTI)
Form the evidence must take. Evidence must be the official CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index (RTI) data for the last minute before expiration, specifically the 60 one-second BRTI prices and their calculated average. The rules state: 'At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.' No specific medium is required beyond the authoritative source.
Does not count.
- Prices from any source other than CF Benchmarks' BRTI, such as Google, Coinbase, or other exchanges.
- The average of readings taken at a different time or with a different number of seconds.
Deadline. 6:00 AM EDT on September 9, 2026
- Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) — The real-time index published by CF Benchmarks for Bitcoin.
- simple average — The arithmetic mean of the 60 one-second BRTI readings.
- above 79299.99 — Strictly greater than 79,299.99; exactly 79,299.99 resolves to No.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
News reports on September 9, 2026 indicate Bitcoin trading around $78,989 (DiarioBitcoin) and $78,419 at 06:43 UTC (Ajansflash), both below $79,300, but these are approximate exchange/news prices, not the exact official CF Benchmarks BRTI 60-second average for 5:59:00–5:59:59 EDT.
No source in the evidence is the named authority, CF Benchmarks, and none provides the 60 official BRTI readings or their average for the required one-minute window. Approximate news-reported prices around the time do not establish the contract condition or its failure under the required form.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the simple average of the 60 one-second CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) readings from 5:59:00 to 5:59:59 EDT on September 9, 2026. The provided sources report approximate Bitcoin prices from other outlets or exchanges, not the official CF Benchmarks BRTI one-second readings or their calculated average for that exact minute.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Official CF Benchmarks BRTI data showing the 60 one-second readings from 5:59:00 to 5:59:59 EDT on September 9, 2026 and their simple average. If that average is strictly greater than 79,299.99 the contract is Yes; if it is 79,299.99 or lower it is No.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 34d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.