polyrag

← Decided

BTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $78,250 or above

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-14T21:00 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 9 → 92 in the last 48h bid 0.920 / ask 0.930 7.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT on September 14, 2026 is above 78,249.99.

Named authority. CF Benchmarks

Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at each second during the last minute before expiration, as published by CF Benchmarks. The rules state: 'At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-09-14T17:00:00-04:00

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

The resolution deadline (5 PM EDT on Sep 14, 2026) has not yet passed; the required CF Benchmarks data does not exist.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the average of 60 RTI prices from the last minute before 5 PM EDT on Sep 14, 2026, as published by CF Benchmarks. No such publication exists yet.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

The official average published by CF Benchmarks of the sixty seconds of BRTI before 5 PM EDT on Sep 14, 2026.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
XRP-Preismarkt bei 7pm EDT: So wird die Abrechnung an CF Benchmarks RTI gemessen ↗
LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein neuer Prognosemarkt koppelt den XRP-Preis direkt an den CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index (RTI). Entscheidend ist nicht ein Durchschnitt über Tage, sondern ein einfacher Mittelwert der RTI-Werte in den 60 Sekunden vor dem festgelegten Zeitpunkt. Der Kontrakt zahlt pro richtige
CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index - CF Benchmarks ↗
The CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index (BRTI) is a once per 200 millisecond benchmark index price for Bitcoin that aggregates order data from Bitcoin-USD markets operated by major cryptocurrency exchanges that conform to the CME CF Constituent Exchange Criteria. Calculated every second, it is the most p
Bitcoin - BTC - CFB ↗
CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - BRR CME CF Bitcoin Real Time Index - BRTI ... CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant - BRRNY ... CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - Asia Pacific Variant - BRRAP ... CME CF Bitcoin-Euro Reference Rate - BTCEUR_RR CME CF Bitcoin-Euro Real Time Index - BTCEUR_RTI
Bitcoin Price Sep 14 5pm EDT Odds | Kalshi & Polymarket ↗
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 86249.99 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Bitcoin Realtime Index, BRTI:IOM Summary - FT.com ↗
Bitcoin Realtime Indexindex chart, prices and performance, plus recent news and analysis.
Bitcoin Real-Time Index Today (BRTI) - Investing.com ↗
Get detailed information on the Bitcoin Real-Time including charts, technical analysis, components and more.
CME CF Cryptocurrency Benchmarks ↗
Get reliable pricing information for cryptocurrencies like bitcoin and ether with reference rates and real-time indices based on crypto transactions.
BTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 4am EDT? - coinrithm.com ↗
The official and final value is the average of these prices. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 4 AM EDT is above 67199.99 at 4 AM EDT on Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Adjudicated 29d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.