BTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 2pm EDT? — $76,500 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-15T18:00
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 28d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 2:00 PM EDT on September 15, 2026 is greater than 76,499.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks (Bitcoin Real-Time Index, BRTI)
Form the evidence must take. CF Benchmarks' official Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) data. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.' No specific publication medium is required beyond the index itself.
Does not count.
- Any price data from Google, Coinbase, or any source other than CF Benchmarks' BRTI
- Any price that is not one of the 60 one-second readings in the final minute before 2:00 PM EDT
Deadline. 2026-09-15T14:00:00-04:00 (2:00 PM EDT)
- BRTI — Bitcoin Real-Time Index published by CF Benchmarks
- simple average — the arithmetic mean of the 60 one-second RTI prices from the last minute before the deadline
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The market resolves based on a future event (2:00 PM EDT on September 15, 2026), and the current time is before that deadline. No evidence of the required BRTI average exists in the provided sources.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The condition requires the simple average of 60 one-second BRTI readings from the last minute before 2:00 PM EDT on September 15, 2026, as published by CF Benchmarks. The supplied sources contain no such data; the deadline has not yet passed.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The official CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) data for the 60 seconds ending at 2:00 PM EDT on September 15, 2026, showing the simple average.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 28d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.