BTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 2pm EDT? — $76,600 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-15T18:00
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 28d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 2 PM EDT on Sep 15, 2026 is above 76599.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration, published by CF Benchmarks via its Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI). The rules state 'the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 2 PM EDT' and 'At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'
Does not count.
- Prices from sources other than CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI), such as Google, Coinbase, or any other exchange or aggregator, even if helpful for guidance
- Any other metric or index (e.g., spot price, futures, other CF Benchmarks indices)
Deadline. 2 PM EDT on Sep 15, 2026
- simple average — the arithmetic mean of the 60 one-second BRTI values taken in the minute before 2 PM EDT
- above 76599.99 — the calculated average is strictly greater than 76599.99
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The resolution deadline (2 PM EDT on Sep 15, 2026) has not yet occurred, so no official CF Benchmarks average is available. All provided sources are either unrelated, from non-authoritative outlets, or refer to earlier times.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official average of 60 one-second BRTI values from CF Benchmarks in the minute before 2 PM EDT on Sep 15, 2026. No such data has been published or cited; the deadline has not yet passed (current time is ~1:50 PM EDT).
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
CF Benchmarks publishing the official simple average of the 60 one-second BRTI values taken in the minute before 2 PM EDT on Sep 15, 2026, showing whether that average is above 76599.99.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 28d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.