BTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $76,500 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-15T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 29d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty one-second readings of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) for the minute ending at 5:00 PM EDT on September 15, 2026 is greater than 76499.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks (BRTI)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) at each second of the last minute before expiration. The rules state: 'the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected.' No other source or publication is acceptable.
Does not count.
- Any price from sources other than CF Benchmarks' BRTI, including Google, Coinbase, or any other exchange or index.
- Any price that is not the exact average of the 60 one-second readings as officially provided by CF Benchmarks.
Deadline. 2026-09-15T17:00:00-04:00 (5 PM EDT)
- simple average — the arithmetic mean of the 60 one-second readings
- sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) — the 60 one-second price readings from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index taken at each second of the minute immediately preceding 5:00 PM EDT
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence in the supplied sources addresses the required CF Benchmarks BRTI average for the specified time. All sources are unrelated (news articles, analysis, lotto results, event pages).
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official average of 60 one-second readings from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) for the minute ending at 5:00 PM EDT on September 15, 2026. None of the provided sources contain any data from CF Benchmarks or any official publication of that average.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
CF Benchmarks publishing the official average of the 60 one-second BRTI readings for the minute ending at 5:00 PM EDT on September 15, 2026, showing whether that average is above 76499.99.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 28d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.