BTC price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $85,250 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-23T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.
- Price reached near-certainty: not recorded — we hold no price history for this contract, which is itself the reason the question cannot be answered
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-21T11:17:39
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on Sep 23, 2026 exceeds 85249.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) at each second of the last minute before 5 PM EDT on Sep 23, 2026. The rules state: 'At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'
Does not count.
- Prices from sources other than CF Benchmarks' BRTI (e.g., Google, Coinbase) are not determinative; the rules warn: 'Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI).'
Deadline. 2026-09-23T17:00:00-04:00
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The resolution time (5 PM EDT / 21:00 UTC on Sep 23, 2026) has not yet occurred as of the current time (16:49 UTC), and no evidence supplies the official CF Benchmarks BRTI average for that minute.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official average of 60 CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) prices collected during the last minute before 5 PM EDT on Sep 23, 2026. The available sources do not provide any CF Benchmarks BRTI data for that minute; one source reports a Bitcoin price of US$84,642 on Sep 21, 2026, which is neither the required index nor the required time.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
CF Benchmarks' official BRTI average of the 60 one-second readings from 16:59:00 to 17:00:00 EDT on Sep 23, 2026, published after the deadline, showing whether it exceeds $85,249.99.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 20d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.