BTC price on Sep 29, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $83,500 or above
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-29T21:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 14d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The simple average of the 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026 is above 83499.99.
Named authority. CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI)
Form the evidence must take. CF Benchmarks' official BRTI/RTI price values for the 60 seconds before expiration; the rules state: 'At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.'
Does not count.
- Google price data
- Coinbase price data
- Any other cryptocurrency exchange or index price
- An average exactly equal to 83499.99
Deadline. 2026-09-29T17:00:00-04:00
- BRTI — CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index
- RTI — CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index
- official and final value — The simple average of the 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration
- above 83499.99 — Strictly greater than 83499.99; an average exactly equal to 83499.99 does not resolve Yes
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from the named authority (CF Benchmarks) or any source providing the required 60-second average has been submitted. The evidence consists only of unrelated news, a Korean article mentioning Kalshi's use of CF indices, and other non-relevant content. The deadline has not yet passed (current time is 20:59:23Z, 37 seconds before the expiration at 21:00:00Z).
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) 60-second average as the sole evidence. None of the provided sources contain that official data.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Official CF Benchmarks' published BRTI 60-second average for the minute before 5:00 PM EDT on September 29, 2026, showing the exact average and confirming whether it is above $83,499.99.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 14d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.