Bonaire vs Grenada
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-05T00:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 11d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-04T06:36:41
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. If Grenada wins the Bonaire vs Grenada professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties, the market resolves to Yes.
Named authority. Concacaf Nations League (as the named competition); Kalshi settlement rules (for cancellation/rescheduling fair-price resolution)
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified in the rules; the outcome is the result of the professional Concacaf Nations League game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No particular publisher, announcement, or official record is designated as required evidence for settlement.
Does not count.
- A Grenada win achieved only in extra time or via penalties
- A tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- A game cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original schedule
Deadline. Game originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026; settlement based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, a fair-price resolution applies instead.
- Grenada wins — Grenada is the winning team after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; explicitly does not include extra time or penalties.
- Tie — The game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; this resolves the separate Tie market, not this Yes market.
- cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away — Triggers a fair-price resolution, not a Yes/No outcome.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Grenada defeated Bonaire 2-3 on October 2, 2026 in a Concacaf Nations League match, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Multiple reliable sources (ESPN, FOX Sports, Concacaf official site, etc.) confirm that Grenada won 3-2 against Bonaire on October 2, 2026 in the Concacaf Nations League, which matches the resolution condition exactly.
Sources it was read from · 4 cited
4 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 9d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.