CPI-U index in August — Above 334.750
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-11T12:29 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 34d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' first published value for the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026, under the 'Unadjusted indexes' column in Table 1 of the Consumer Price Index News Release, is above 334.750.
Named authority. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
Form the evidence must take. The first value published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the scheduled Consumer Price Index release for August 2026, specifically the 'All items' value under the 'Unadjusted indexes' column in Table 1. Subsequent revisions do not affect the market.
Does not count.
- Any revised or corrected values published after the first release for August 2026
- Any values from other tables or columns (e.g., seasonally adjusted, or other item categories)
- Any estimates or unofficial sources
Deadline. The scheduled Consumer Price Index release for August 2026 (typically released in September or October 2026, exact date set by BLS)
- CPI-U index — Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100
- Above 334.750 — A value strictly greater than 334.750
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence shows that the BLS has released the August 2026 CPI-U index, so it is impossible to determine whether the condition (above 334.750) has been met or not.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the Bureau of Labor Statistics' first published value for the CPI-U index for August 2026 in Table 1 of the Consumer Price Index News Release. None of the provided sources are from the BLS or address this specific release.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics' official Consumer Price Index News Release for August 2026, specifically the 'All items' unadjusted index value in Table 1, published on the BLS website.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 34d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.