← Decided
Diesel prices tomorrow — Above $6.505
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-09-23T05:59 · claim page
undecided
medium confidence
not the named source
buy YES
price moved
43 → 92
in the last 48h
bid 0.920 / ask 0.940
6.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved.
the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty:
21d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-09-22T13:00:00
- Price as shown:
not current — not adjudicated.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Deadline. 2026-09-23
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
证据中最新美国全国平均柴油价格为9月19日的$6.4866，低于$6.505，且没有9月23日当天的直接价格数据，无法确认条件已满足或已不可能。
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires.
合同未指定证据形式或权威来源，但要求确定2026年9月23日柴油价格是否高于$6.505；现有证据仅提供9月19日及之前的全国平均价格（最高$6.4866），未提供9月23日当天数据。
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that
alone.
The named authority has not established this.
The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
需要AAA或EIA等权威机构在2026年9月23日当天发布的全国平均柴油价格数据，明确高于$6.505才能判定为已满足。
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
What Goes Into Diesel Prices? – Analysis ↗
https://eurasia.ro/2026/09/23/what-goes-into-diesel-prices-analysis · 2026-09-23
Key Takeaways: U.S. retail diesel averaged $6.29 a gallon as of Sept. 14, 2026—the highest nominal price in EIA’s series since 1994 and the highest inflation-adjusted level since 2022—lifted by crude prices plus a wide diesel crack spread (wholesale diesel minus crude). Global distillate is tight because of weaker refining in Russia, China, and the …
Iran war pushes diesel – the economy’s lifeblood – to record high prices, with no relief on the horizon ↗
https://progressive-charlestown.com/2026/09/iran-war-pushes-diesel-economys.html · 2026-09-22
Ditto on home heating oil Morgan Bazilian , Colorado School of Mines and Jamie Webster , Colorado School of Mines Diesel fuel prices in the U.S. continue to break all-time records, hitting $6.28 a gallon as a national average on Sept. 14, 2026, and they aren’t likely to come down anytime soon. Because diesel is the fuel for freight transportation, farming and construction – and is related to a key heating fuel – the effects are set to spread across the entire U.S. economy. The inflation-adjusted price of diesel in late August was about as high as it was in 2022 and has likely risen further. There are still three factors that we, scholars of U.S. and global energy markets and supply chains ,
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 21d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.