← Decided
Diesel prices this week — Above $5.82
kalshi · open the market ↗
· closes 2026-09-14T05:59 · claim page
undecided
high confidence
not the named source
buy YES
price moved
28 → 90
in the last 48h
bid 0.900 / ask 0.910
9.0c residual
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved.
the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty:
36d ago
- Earliest cited source published:
2026-09-07T13:45:20
- Price as shown:
not current — not adjudicated.
The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The Diesel Price on September 14, 2026 is above $5.82.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Deadline. 2026-09-14
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the
condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Several sources report U.S. average diesel prices above $5.82 on dates between September 4 and September 7, 2026, but the resolution condition explicitly requires the price on September 14, 2026. That date has not yet occurred, so the condition cannot be established as already met or already not met.
The named authority has not established this.
The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
An official source (e.g., AAA or EIA) reporting the national average diesel price on September 14, 2026, as above $5.82 would settle this as 'already yes'. A report showing the price at or below $5.82 on that date would settle it as 'already no'.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
قفزة أسعار الديزل في الولايات المتحدة.. أسباب وتداعيات مع استمرار حرب إيران (مقال) ↗
https://attaqa.net/2026/09/07/%d9%82%d9%81%d8%b2%d8%a9-%d8%a3%d8%b3%d8%b9%d8%a7%d8%b1-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%af%d9%8a%d8%b2%d9%84-%d9%81%d9%8a-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%88%d9%84%d8%a7%d9%8a%d8%a7%d8%aa-%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85%d8%aa%d8%ad%d8%af%d8%a9 · 2026-09-07
بلغت أسعار الديزل في الولايات المتحدة مستوى قياسيًا مؤخرًا، ويعود ذلك إلى عدة أسباب، أبرزها اضطراب سلاسل التوريد نتيجة التطورات الجيوسياسية في الشرق الأوسط، ما يؤدي إلى تداعيات مختلفة على السوق الأميركية. في الرابع من سبتمبر/أيلول 2026 بلغ متوسط سعر الديزل في الولايات المتحدة مستوى قياسيًا قدره 5.85 دولارًا أميركيًا للغالون، وفقًا لجمعية السيارات الأميركية … إقرأ: قفزة أسعار الديزل في الولايات المتحدة.. أسباب وتداعيات مع استمرار حرب إيران (مقال) على منصة الطاقة
Oregon Diesel Prices Climb Above $6.25 as National Average Hits Record High ↗
https://dailytidings.com/oregon-diesel-prices-climb-above-6-25-as-national-average-hits-record-high · 2026-09-07
Diesel prices have reached a new national record, with the average U.S. price climbing to $5.9015 per gallon on September 7, according to AAA. But Oregon is experiencing an even sharper increase, with the state’s average diesel price reaching $6.2547 per gallon. National Diesel Prices Reach New Record AAA reports on gas prices show […] The post Oregon Diesel Prices Climb Above $6.25 as National Average Hits Record High appeared first on Daily Tidings .
6 retrieved but not cited
Govt jacks up petrol price by Rs12.90; diesel raised by Rs3.72 per litre ↗
The government increased the price of petrol by Rs12.90 per litre and the high-speed diesel (HSD) price by Rs3.72 per litre, effective from Tuesday, September 8, 2026. According to a notification issued by the Ministry of Energy (Petroleum Division), the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) on Mo
Adjudicated 36d ago · retrieval: newsrag.
This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named
authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.