Diesel prices this week — Above $5.98
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-14T05:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 34d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-07T13:45:20
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The Diesel Price on September 14, 2026 is above $5.98.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Deadline. 2026-09-14
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The resolution date is September 14, 2026, and the current time is September 9, 2026. No source reports the diesel price on September 14, so the condition cannot be established as already met or not met.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the diesel price on September 14, 2026 to be above $5.98. No evidence provides a price for that specific date; all sources are from earlier dates (Sept 4–9) and show prices below $5.98 (e.g., $5.9015 on Sept 7). The condition is about a future date that has not yet occurred.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A credible source (e.g., AAA or EIA) reporting the U.S. national average diesel price on September 14, 2026, explicitly stating whether it is above $5.98.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 34d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.