polyrag

← Decided

US existing home sales for August — Above 3.90M

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-10T13:59 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES bid 0.910 / ask 0.960 4.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. US existing home sales for August 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, millions of homes) is above 3.90M

Named authority. Trading Economics (series: United States Existing Home Sales); National Association of Realtors (NAR)

Deadline. August 2026 (data release date unspecified)

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No evidence from the named authorities (Trading Economics or NAR) reports the August 2026 existing home sales figure; the provided sources discuss new home sales, forecasts, or unrelated data.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

Trading Economics or the National Association of Realtors (NAR) must release the seasonally adjusted annual rate of existing home sales for August 2026, showing whether it is above 3.90M.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
New Home Sales Unexpectedly Rise 1.6% in June ↗
According to the Census Bureau, new home sales were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 628,000 in June. This represents a 1.6% increase from May’s upwardly revised rate of 618,000 but a 5.6% drop from the previous year. The latest reading was higher than the forecast of 609,000. Key Takeaways N
New Home Sales Regain Some Lost Ground ↗
New home sales rebounded modestly in June, recovering some of the previous month's decline, though activity remained below year-ago levels as elevated mortgage rates and affordability challenges continued to weigh on demand. According to the latest Census Bureau and HUD data, sales of new single-fam
The Daily — Labour Force Survey, August 2026 ↗
The Daily — Labour Force Survey, August 2026 Skip to main content Skip to "About this site" Language selection Français / Gouvernement du Canada Search and menus Search and menus Search Search Statistics Canada Search Topics menu Subjects Data Analysis Reference Geo
Refis Take a Back Seat as Purchase Demand Rebounds ↗
Mortgage application activity rebounded last week as stronger home purchase demand offset a modest decline in refinancing, even with borrowing costs climbing to their highest level since last August. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 1.9% increase in total application volume on a sea
CaseShiller seasonally adjusted YoY housing prices change 1.6% versus 1.3% estimate ↗
Prior month 1.2% revised from 1.1% YoY 1.6% versus 1.3% expected MoM 0.2% versus 0.1% expected MoM not seasonally adjusted 0.9% versus 1.0% prior month Details With inflation at 4.2%, home prices continue to decline in real (inflation-adjusted) terms. Price performance remains uneven across the coun
Economics Week Ahead ↗
Next week, we expect U.S. inflation to show a modest pickup in headline prices due to higher energy costs, while underlying inflation pressures remain relatively contained. Existing home sales likely weakened further as elevated mortgage rates continue to weigh on affordability and demand. Abroad, t
/works/OL15420635W ↗
Path: /works/OL15420635W Comment: import existing book Author: MARC Bot 0 United States 0 United States 1 Persian Gulf War, 1991 1 Persian Gulf War, 1991 2 United States. Army 2 United States. Army 3 History 3 History 4 United states, army, history 4 United states, army, history 5 Persian gulf war,
Existing Home Sales Declined 2.4% in June ↗
Summary and analysis of key economic data as it is released.

Adjudicated 37d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.