Liverpool vs Manchester City: Spread — Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-13T15:30 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 2d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-11T17:30:09
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Liverpool vs Manchester City professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, with the margin counted only after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified — the rules do not specify a particular source or medium; the result must show that Manchester City's winning margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time was more than 2.5 goals.
Does not count.
- Goals scored in extra time
- Goals scored in penalty shootout
- A Manchester City winning margin of exactly 2 goals or less
- A Liverpool win or a draw
Deadline. end of the Liverpool vs Manchester City EPL game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- wins by more than 2.5 goals — Manchester City's goal margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is greater than 2.5 goals; since goals are integers, this means a margin of at least 3 goals
- 90 minutes plus stoppage time — the standard regulation period of the match, excluding extra time and penalties
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If Manchester City wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Liverpool vs Manchester City professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
What the sources establish
Manchester City defeated Liverpool 3-0 at Anfield on 11 October 2026, a winning margin of 3 goals after the match, which is more than 2.5 goals.
Multiple sources dated around the match report a 3-0 Manchester City win over Liverpool on 11 October 2026; a 3-goal margin satisfies the requirement of winning by more than 2.5 goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 14h ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.