ETH 15 min · $2,705.13 target — Target Price: $2,705.13

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T00:45

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 12 → 91 in the last 48h bid 0.909 / ask 0.914 8.6c residual

Was there ever a window?

The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.

Price reached near-certainty: 12d ago
Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-26T17:26:55
Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.

What the contract requires

Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSDRTI before 8:45 PM EDT on Oct 1, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSDRTI before 8:30 PM EDT on October 1, 2026.

Named authority. CF Benchmarks

Form the evidence must take. Official CF Benchmarks' ETHUSDRTI Real Time Index (RTI) data for the sixty seconds before each specified time, as stated: 'the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSDRTI' and 'At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.'

Does not count.

Data from sources other than CF Benchmarks (e.g., Google, Coinbase) is not considered
Any price data not from the CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI RTI

Deadline. 2026-10-01T20:45:00-04:00

simple average of the sixty seconds — the arithmetic mean of 60 RTI prices collected at each second during the last minute before the indicated time, rounded to 2 decimal places

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

The supplied evidence contains no information about ETH prices, CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI, or the relevant 8:30 PM and 8:45 PM EDT times on October 1, 2026, so the resolution condition cannot be established either way.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires official CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI Real Time Index readings averaged over the 60 seconds before 8:30 PM EDT and before 8:45 PM EDT on October 1, 2026. None of the supplied sources provide any CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI data or ETH price data at all; they discuss unrelated XRP markets and weather reports.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

Official CF Benchmarks ETHUSDRTI RTI data showing the 60-second average before 8:30 PM EDT and before 8:45 PM EDT on October 1, 2026, with the latter equal to or greater than the former, would settle this as already_yes; official data showing the opposite would settle it as already_no.

Sources it was read from · 8 cited

XRP-Preisvorhersage: Wie ein Prediction-Market am 26.09.2026 um 20:00 ET auf CF RTI basiert ↗

https://it-boltwise.de/xrp-preisvorhersage-wie-ein-prediction-market-am-26-09-2026-um-2000-et-auf-cf-rti-basiert.html · 2026-09-27

LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein auf XRP bezogener Prediction-Market legt den auslösenden Preis für den 26. September 2026 um 20:00 Uhr EDT fest. Entscheidend ist dabei der Real-Time Index (RTI) von CF Benchmarks, konkret der Mittelwert über 60 Sekunden vor diesem Zeitpunkt. Der Markt prüft die Bedingung exakt zum Stichtag; falls zum Ablauf unvollständige oder […] ... den vollständigen Artikel »XRP-Preisvorhersage: Wie ein Prediction-Market am 26.09.2026 um 20:00 ET auf CF RTI basiert« lesen Dieser Beitrag XRP-Preisvorhersage: Wie ein Prediction-Market am 26.09.2026 um 20:00 ET auf CF RTI basiert erschien als erstes auf IT BOLTWISE x Artificial Intelligence .

XRP-Preisvorhersage via Future-Kontrakt: Regeln für 30.09.2026 7:00 EDT ↗

https://it-boltwise.de/xrp-preisvorhersage-via-future-kontrakt-regeln-fuer-30-09-2026-700-edt.html · 2026-09-30

LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Ein neuer Vorhersagemarkt fragt den XRP-Kurs für den 30. September 2026 um 7:00 EDT ab. Der Abrechnungspreis basiert auf dem CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index (RTI) und wird als einfache Mittelung über 60 Sekunden vor dem Stichtag gebildet. Trader erhalten einen klar definierten Mechanismus zur Positionsauflösung, sofern zum Auswertungszeitpunkt vollständige Kursdaten vorliegen. […] ... den vollständigen Artikel »XRP-Preisvorhersage via Future-Kontrakt: Regeln für 30.09.2026 7:00 EDT« lesen Dieser Beitrag XRP-Preisvorhersage via Future-Kontrakt: Regeln für 30.09.2026 7:00 EDT erschien als erstes auf IT BOLTWISE x Artificial Intelligence .

XRP-Preis über $1,4895: So funktioniert der 15-Minuten-RTI-Index bei Kalshi & Co. ↗

https://it-boltwise.de/xrp-preis-ueber-14895-so-funktioniert-der-15-minuten-rti-index-bei-kalshi-co.html · 2026-10-01

LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Am 30. September 2026 läuft ein 15-Minuten-Vorhersagemarkt für XRP über die Preisgrenze von 1,4895 US-Dollar. Entscheidend ist nicht ein beliebiger Chart, sondern der CF-Benchmarks Real Time Index (RTI). Der Markt wertet am Ende des Fensters 60 RTI-Stichproben aus und bildet daraus einen Durchschnitt. Damit wird die Schwelle regelbasiert festgelegt und die […] ... den vollständigen Artikel »XRP-Preis über $1,4895: So funktioniert der 15-Minuten-RTI-Index bei Kalshi & Co.« lesen Dieser Beitrag XRP-Preis über $1,4895: So funktioniert der 15-Minuten-RTI-Index bei Kalshi & Co. erschien als erstes auf IT BOLTWISE x Artificial Intelligence .

Fair and 79 F at Columbus / Bakalar ↗

https://thebridgefm.org/2026/09/30/fair-and-79-f-at-columbus-bakalar-38 · 2026-09-30

Winds are South at 6.9 MPH (6 KT). The pressure is 30.01 and the humidity is 45%. The heat index is 79. Last Updated on Sep 30 2026, 1:45 pm EDT.

Fair and 75 F at Columbus / Bakalar ↗

https://thebridgefm.org/2026/10/01/fair-and-75-f-at-columbus-bakalar-103 · 2026-10-01

Winds are South at 11.5 MPH (10 KT). The pressure is 30.01 and the humidity is 50%. The heat index is 78. Last Updated on Oct 1 2026, 10:45 am EDT.

Fair and 73 F at Columbus / Bakalar ↗

https://thebridgefm.org/2026/09/30/fair-and-73-f-at-columbus-bakalar-123 · 2026-10-01

Winds are calm. The pressure is 29.98 and the humidity is 44%. Last Updated on Sep 30 2026, 8:45 pm EDT.

Fair and 77 F at Columbus / Bakalar ↗

https://thebridgefm.org/2026/09/30/fair-and-77-f-at-columbus-bakalar-97 · 2026-09-30

Winds are Southwest at 9.2 MPH (8 KT). The pressure is 30.03 and the humidity is 47%. The heat index is 79. Last Updated on Sep 30 2026, 12:45 pm EDT.

Fair and 68 F at Columbus / Bakalar ↗

https://thebridgefm.org/2026/09/26/fair-and-68-f-at-columbus-bakalar-94 · 2026-09-26

Winds are North at 5.8 MPH (5 KT). The pressure is 30.18 and the humidity is 40%. Last Updated on Sep 26 2026, 12:45 pm EDT.

Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.