polyrag

← Decided

ETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT? — $2,600 or above

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-20T21:00 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 12 → 92 in the last 48h bid 0.920 / ask 0.930 7.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. The simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT on September 20, 2026 must be greater than 2599.99.

Named authority. CF Benchmarks (Ethereum Real-Time Index – ERTI)

Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the average of 60 ERTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration, as published by CF Benchmarks on their official data feed or website. The rules state: "the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices."

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-09-20T17:00:00-04:00 (5 PM EDT)

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

The deadline (5 PM EDT on September 20, 2026) has not yet passed, and no evidence of CF Benchmarks' ERTI average exists in the provided sources.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The resolution requires the average of 60 ERTI prices from CF Benchmarks in the last minute before 5 PM EDT on September 20, 2026. No such data has been provided; the current time is before the deadline.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

CF Benchmarks publishing the official average of 60 ERTI prices from the last minute before 5 PM EDT on September 20, 2026, after that time.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
Google launches Gemini 3.8 Live audio-to-audio conversational AI ↗
Google has launched Gemini 3.8 Live and Gemini 3.8 Live Extended Thinking, advanced audio-to-audio AI models designed for real-time conversational use. These models can process visual context, switch between 97 languages mid-conversation, and execute tools in the background without interrupting the
Verra vets four more data providers for ARR methodology ↗
Verra has approved four additional data service providers to supply data used to establish performance benchmarks for afforestation, reforestation, and revegetation (ARR) projects under its flagship carbon crediting programme, the standard setter announced Thursday.
AIBIX lab Signs Three-Way Partnership with Flipb and Korea Big Data Society ↗
AIBIX lab signed a three-way partnership with the Korea Big Data Society and Flipb to advance its AI Brand Index (AIBIX) methodology, with the first index for the F&B sector set for release next month.
German Chancellor Cancels New York Trip Amid Political Pressure, Source Says ↗
German Chancellor Cancels New York Trip Amid Political Pressure, Source Says Skip to content News News Sections U.S. News Decision Points Capitol Chats Elections Top Stories Health News Politics World Report Business News Leaders Cartoons New York Local Best Countries Home
Saudi Coalition Says Houthi Drone Destroyed Near Mecca ↗
Saudi Coalition Says Houthi Drone Destroyed Near Mecca Skip to content News News Sections U.S. News Decision Points Capitol Chats Elections Top Stories Health News Politics World Report Business News Leaders Cartoons New York Local Best Countries Home Overall Rankings
Transparency data: List of statistics with pre-release access ↗
A list of the roles of those currently granted pre-release access to our key official statistics.
Hyundai and Inter Miami CF Drive Forward Multi-Year Partnership ↗
? Hyundai becomes Official Mainstream Automotive Partner of Inter Miami CF ? Hyundai joins as a Founding Partner of Miami Freedom Park, with brand integrations across Nu Stadium, fan experiences, and community impact programs Hyundai Motor America and Inter Miami CF today announced a multi-year part
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Adjudicated 23d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.