Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 1, 2026? — 87° to 88°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 12d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 1, 2026, as finally reported by The Weather Company, is between 87 and 88 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value must be the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company for Austin (CLIAUS) for Oct 1, 2026. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary Weather Company data subject to rounding or conversion differences does not count; the final reported value governs.
Deadline. 2026-10-01 (measurement date; Expiration Date per Kalshi rules)
- Austin (CLIAUS) — The Austin weather station identified by the CLIAUS station identifier.
- The Weather Company — The official source whose reported maximum temperature determines the market outcome.
- between 87-88° fahrenheit — Inclusive range from 87 to
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source provides the actual maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) on Oct 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. The day is still ongoing (current time 2026-10-01T20:01:34Z), and the final value has not been published.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official final maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company for Austin (CLIAUS) on Oct 1, 2026. The provided sources contain no such report; they are either prediction market interfaces, forecasts, or general information.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The Weather Company's final reported maximum temperature for Austin (CLIAUS) on Oct 1, 2026, showing a value between 87 and 88 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive, or a value outside that range.
Sources it was read from · 4 cited
3 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: pg search, wikipedia. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.