Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 5, 2026? — 101° to 102°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-06T08:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 8d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company, is between 101°F and 102°F inclusive.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The final, non-preliminary value reported by The Weather Company for the maximum temperature at CLILAX on October 5, 2026. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data subject to rounding and conversion differences must be disregarded; a status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi is 'provided for convenience only' and does not guarantee error-free data.
Does not count.
- Preliminary readings that have not been finalized by The Weather Company.
- Data from any source other than The Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather).
- Records that are subsequently revised due to material error before a final non-erroneous publication is made.
Deadline. October 5, 2026 (subject to potential delay if a material error is determined; then the later of the corrected publication or the original expiration date, whichever comes first)
- Los Angeles (CLILAX) — The specific weather station identifier for Los Angeles used by The Weather Company.
- maximum temperature — The highest recorded temperature in degrees Fahrenheit on the given date.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from The Weather Company or any source addressing the maximum temperature at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 5, 2026, has been provided. All sources are either about other locations, other dates, or lack the required specificity and authority.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the final, non-preliminary maximum temperature at CLILAX on October 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. None of the provided sources contain any data from The Weather Company, nor do they mention CLILAX or the specific temperature in Los Angeles on that date.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A report from The Weather Company (e.g., on weather.com/kalshi or their official data feed) showing the final maximum temperature at CLILAX on October 5, 2026, as a value between 101°F and 102°F inclusive, or a value outside that range, published before the deadline.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.