Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 12, 2026? — 68° to 69°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-13T08:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 1d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 12, 2026, is between 68 and 69 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive, according to The Weather Company's final reported data.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final maximum temperature value as reported by The Weather Company in its non-preliminary publication, typically via its official channels (e.g., weather.com/kalshi). The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data, rounding, or conversion differences do not qualify; only the final reported value settles the market.
Does not count.
- Data from sources other than The Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather)
- Preliminary data from The Weather Company before final publication
- Data that The Weather Company later revises due to a material error, unless the Exchange determines the revision is non-material
Deadline. unspecified
- CLILAX — weather station code for Los Angeles used by The Weather Company
- maximum temperature — the highest temperature recorded in a 24-hour period for the specified date
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Oct 12, 2026, is between 68-69° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
What the sources establish
None of the provided sources contain weather data or any information about the temperature in Los Angeles on October 12, 2026. The market cannot be resolved without evidence from The Weather Company.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The resolution requires the official final maximum temperature data from The Weather Company for Los Angeles (CLILAX) on October 12, 2026. No evidence provides any temperature data, let alone from that source.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
Official final maximum temperature data from The Weather Company (e.g., via weather.com/kalshi) showing the maximum temperature at CLILAX on October 12, 2026, is between 68 and 69 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive.
Sources it was read from
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 1d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.