polyrag

← Decided

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026? — 79° to 80°

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-16T08:00 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy NO price moved 86 → 5 in the last 48h bid 0.050 / ask 0.070 5.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.

What the contract requires

Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for September 15, 2026, is between 79 and 80 degrees Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company.

Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange (sole discretion for material error in the initial non-preliminary publication)

Form the evidence must take. The official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. The evidence must be The Weather Company's reported maximum temperature for CLILAX for Sep 15, 2026; preliminary Weather Company data is not final and may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. AccuWeather or Google Weather are not official sources.

Does not count.

Deadline. 2026-09-15 (Expiration Date; may be held only until publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first)

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No evidence in the supplied documents addresses the maximum temperature in Los Angeles on September 15, 2026, from any source, let alone the required authority (The Weather Company).

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the maximum temperature reported by The Weather Company for CLILAX on Sep 15, 2026. None of the provided sources contain any temperature data from The Weather Company or any other source for that date and location.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

The Weather Company's official reported maximum temperature for CLILAX on Sep 15, 2026, published on or before the deadline.

Sources it was read from

6 retrieved but not cited
Los Angeles doctors urge 'skin wetting' as rare humidity surge makes heat more dangerous ↗
"Our body works best when the internal temperature is about 98.6 degrees."
New 2026 Report Compares the Leading Water Intrusion Testing Companies in Los Angeles ↗
Exterior Systems Construction receives the highest score among 10 companies evaluated under a published 100-point rubric. LOS ANGELES – September 14, 2026 – A new 2026 comparison report published by
MLB: Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers ↗
Sep 4, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Edgardo Henriquez (60) pitches against the Washington Nationals during the seventh inning at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images
Dodgers put Edgardo Henriquez (back) on IL ↗
By Field Level Media Sep 15 (Field Level Media) - The Los Angeles Dodgers put relief pitcher Edgardo Henriquez on the 15-day injured list due to lower...

Adjudicated 28d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.