Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026? — 81° to 82°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-16T08:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 28d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Sep 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company, is between 81° and 82° Fahrenheit.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange
Form the evidence must take. The Weather Company's published maximum temperature for Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Sep 15, 2026. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary Weather Company data is not final; a 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only.
Does not count.
- AccuWeather or Google Weather readings
- Preliminary Weather Company data if it differs from the final reported value
- A 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi if the underlying data is materially erroneous
- No data available at the end of the period (resolves to last fair price, not Yes)
Deadline. 2026-09-15 (Expiration Date; if material error in initial non-preliminary publication, expiration may be held until a non-materially-erroneous revision or the Expiration Date, whichever comes first)
- maximum temperature — The maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) as reported by The Weather Company.
- between 81-82° fahrenheit — The maximum temperature is in the range 81°F to 82°F.
- Preliminary Weather Company data — Data that may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Final status on weather.com/kalshi — Provided for convenience only and does not guarantee data to be error-free.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No retrieved evidence establishes the maximum temperature at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on Sep 15, 2026, let alone that The Weather Company reported it as 81–82°F. Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence, so the condition is undecided.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require The Weather Company's published maximum temperature for Los Angeles (CLILAX) on Sep 15, 2026. The supplied sources contain no Weather Company data for Los Angeles on that date; they are unrelated forecasts for other cities or non-weather articles.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A Weather Company publication (weather.com/Kalshi CLILAX data) showing the final maximum temperature for Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026 as 81°F or 82°F, or official confirmation that no such data exists.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 27d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.