Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 16, 2026? — 79° to 80°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-17T08:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 27d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on September 16, 2026, is between 79 and 80 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive, according to The Weather Company's final reported value.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Exchange (Kalshi) for material-error determinations
Form the evidence must take. The Weather Company's official reported maximum temperature for CLILAX for September 16, 2026, as published in its final non-preliminary data. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary Weather Company data is not final; AccuWeather and Google Weather readings do not count.
Does not count.
- AccuWeather or Google Weather readings
- Preliminary Weather Company data that differs from the final reported value
- A 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi, which is provided for convenience only and does not guarantee error-free data
Deadline. 2026-09-16 (measurement date); Expiration Date per Kalshi not specified in the excerpt
- CLILAX — The Los Angeles weather station identifier used by The Weather Company.
- between 79-80° fahrenheit — Inclusive range from 79°F through 80°F.
- maximum temperature — The maximum/minimum temperature as reported by The Weather Company.
- preliminary Weather Company data — Data that may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- material error — Not defined in the rules; determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from The Weather Company's official final data for CLILAX on Sep 16, 2026, has been provided. The available sources (NWS, AccuWeather, Weather Spark) are not the named authority, and the Polymarket summary is not authoritative.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires The Weather Company's final reported maximum temperature for CLILAX on September 16, 2026. None of the provided sources contain that specific data; they include NWS observations, AccuWeather forecasts, and third-party summaries, none of which satisfy the required form.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The Weather Company's official final maximum temperature for CLILAX on September 16, 2026, as published on their platform or data feed, showing a value between 79 and 80 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive.
Sources it was read from · 2 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 26d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.