Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026? — 78° to 79°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-24T08:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 20d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026? — 78° to 79°
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence establishes the actual highest temperature for Los Angeles on September 23, 2026 from an official source. The deadline has passed, but the condition remains unverified.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official recorded highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 23, 2026. The evidence does not include any authoritative source (e.g., National Weather Service final report) stating the daily maximum. Source [8] shows a METAR observation of 23°C (73.4°F) at 23:41 PDT, but that is not the daily high. Source [10] provides climate normals, not actual data.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
An official National Weather Service climate report or a reliable weather data archive (e.g., Weather Spark, NOAA) showing the daily maximum temperature at a representative Los Angeles station (e.g., KLAX) for September 23, 2026.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.