polyrag

← Decided

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 28, 2026? — 76° to 77°

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-29T08:00 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 3 → 96 in the last 48h bid 0.960 / ask 0.970 3.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Sep 28, 2026 is between 76°F and 77°F according to The Weather Company's official/final reported value.

Form the evidence must take. The Weather Company must report the maximum temperature at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Sep 28, 2026 as 76–77°

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No source provides The Weather Company's official maximum temperature for Los Angeles (CLILAX) on Sep 28, 2026. The deadline has not passed, so the outcome is not yet determined.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require The Weather Company's official/final reported value. None of the provided sources contain a report from The Weather Company; they are either weather history indices, market pages, climate normals, or Wikipedia articles.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

The Weather Company publishing the maximum temperature at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Sep 28, 2026 as 76–77°F, before the deadline of 2026-09-29T08:00:00Z.

Sources it was read from · 7 cited

September 2026 Weather History in Los Angeles ↗
https://weatherspark.com/h/m/1705/2026/9/Historical-Weather-in-September-2026-in-Los-Angeles-California-United-States
This report shows the past weather for Los Angeles, providing a weather history for September 2026. It features all historical weather data series we have available, including the Los Angeles temperature history for September 2026. You can drill down from year to month and even day level reports by clicking on the graphs.
Los Angeles Weather on Sep 28, 2026 | Prediction Market Forecast ↗
https://predictmarketcap.com/events/highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-sep-28-2026-sep-29-2026
What will the temperature be in Los Angeles on Sep 28, 2026? Prediction market forecast based on real-money trading. Most likely: 76° to 77° (96%), 78° to 79° (11%).
Los Angeles 2026 Past Weather (California, United States) - Weather Spark ↗
https://weatherspark.com/h/y/1705/2026/Historical-Weather-during-2026-in-Los-Angeles-California-United-States
This report shows the past weather for Los Angeles, providing a weather history for 2026. It features all historical weather data series we have available, including the Los Angeles temperature history for 2026. You can drill down from year to month and even day level reports by clicking on the graphs.
Los Angeles Daily Temperature High September 28 2026 - Robinhood ↗
https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/climate/events/los-angeles-daily-temperature-high-september-28-2026-sep-28-2026/
What will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be on September 28, 2026? Get paid $1 per contract when your prediction is correct, or $0 if not.
National Weather Service ↗
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX
THE LOS ANGELES INTL AIRPORT CA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY NORMAL RECORD YEAR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 75 104 1963 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 63 53 1948 SUNRISE AND SUNSET SEPTEMBER 28 2026.....SUNRISE 6:46 AM PDT SUNSET 6:42 PM PDT SEPTEMBER 29 2026.....SUNRISE 6:47 AM PDT SUNSET 6:40 PM PDT - INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
Hollywood, Los Angeles ↗
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hollywood,_Los_Angeles
Hollywood, sometimes informally called Tinseltown, is a neighborhood in Central Los Angeles, California. Its name has become synonymous with the American film industry and the people associated with it. Many notable film studios such as Universal Pictures, Paramount Pictures, Warner Bros., Walt Disney Studios and Sony Pictures are located in or near Hollywood. Hollywood was incorporated as an independent municipality on November 9, 1903. The municipality of Hollywood was consolidated with the City of Los Angeles on February 7, 1910 following a referendum. Soon thereafter, large portions of the American film industry migrated to the area, although now its film industry may be in decline.
Los Angeles ↗
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Los_Angeles
Los Angeles (often shortened as LA or L.A.) is the most populous city in the U.S. state of California, and the commercial, financial, and cultural center of Southern California. With an estimated 3.87 million residents within the city limits as of 2025, it is the second-most populous city in the United States, behind New York City, and the largest city in the Western United States. The city has an ethnically and culturally diverse population, and is the principal city of a metropolitan area of 12.9 million people (2024). Greater Los Angeles, a combined statistical area that includes the Los Angeles and Riverside–San Bernardino metropolitan areas, is a sprawling metropolis of over 18 million

Adjudicated 15d ago · retrieval: pg search, wikipedia. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.