Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 29, 2026? — 80° to 81°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-30T08:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 14d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on September 29, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company, is between 80 and 81 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences; the final non-preliminary publication is authoritative unless a material error is determined.
Does not count.
- Data from AccuWeather, Google Weather, or any source other than The Weather Company
- Preliminary or non-final readings from The Weather Company that are subject to rounding or conversion differences
- Data that is later revised due to a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication
Deadline. 2026-09-29 (with possible extension if material error in initial non-preliminary publication; if no data available by expiration date, resolves to last fair price)
- maximum temperature — the highest temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on the given date
- Los Angeles (CLILAX) — the specific weather station identifier used by The Weather Company for Los Angeles
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
None of the retrieved evidence mentions the Los Angeles temperature on September 29, 2026, or references The Weather Company's data for CLILAX. There is no information to determine whether the condition has been met.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company for Los Angeles (CLILAX) on September 29, 2026. None of the provided sources contain any data from The Weather Company or reference the Los Angeles temperature for that date.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A report from The Weather Company showing the maximum temperature at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on September 29, 2026, falling between 80 and 81 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive, published before the deadline or as the final authoritative value.
Sources it was read from
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 13d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.