Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 29, 2026? — 82° to 83°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-30T08:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 14d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on September 29, 2026, is between 82 and 83 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The final maximum temperature value as reported by The Weather Company, specifically from its official publication (e.g., weather.com/kalshi or other official channel). Preliminary readings and rounded/converted data are not determinative. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.'
Does not count.
- Preliminary Weather Company data that is subject to rounding or conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Data from sources other than The Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather).
Deadline. September 29, 2026 (the date of measurement; resolution may be delayed for error correction per rules)
- maximum temperature — the highest temperature recorded on that date at the specified location
- Los Angeles (CLILAX) — the specific weather station identifier for Los Angeles used by The Weather Company
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source provides the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) on September 29, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. All retrieved documents are either unrelated or do not contain the required authoritative data.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the maximum temperature to be reported by The Weather Company through its official publication (e.g., weather.com/kalshi). None of the provided sources are from The Weather Company or contain the required temperature data for Los Angeles on September 29, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A report from The Weather Company (e.g., weather.com/kalshi or other official channel) showing the final maximum temperature for Los Angeles (CLILAX) on September 29, 2026, to be between 82 and 83 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 13d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.