Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026? — 92° to 93°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-09T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 35d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-08T13:38:49
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official non-preliminary publication of The Weather Company reporting the maximum temperature for Miami (CLIMIA) on September 8, 2026. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company' and caution that 'Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences.' The status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and not guaranteed error-free.
Does not count.
- Preliminary or rounded data that differs from the final reported value.
- Data from sources other than The Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather).
- Data marked 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi if later found to contain a material error.
- Any conversion differences or rounding that alter the reported value from the official final figure.
Deadline. Not explicitly stated in the provided rules; refers to the market's 'Expiration Date' as defined by Kalshi, which is after September 8, 2026, and may be extended if there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication.
- Miami (CLIMIA) — The specific weather station identifier for Miami used by The Weather Company.
- between 92-93° — Presumably inclusive of both 92°F and 93°F, as typical in such ranges.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from The Weather Company (the named authority) appears in the supplied documents. The only Miami-related source [5] is a news article citing 99°F, which is not the required authority and contradicts the range, but absence of the official data leaves the condition unestablished.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company for Miami (CLIMIA) on September 8, 2026. None of the provided sources are from The Weather Company or contain its official non-preliminary publication for that date and location.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The official non-preliminary publication from The Weather Company reporting the maximum temperature for Miami (CLIMIA) on September 8, 2026, within the required range.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 35d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.