Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 9, 2026? — 89° to 90°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-10T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 34d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Sep 9, 2026, is between 89 and 90 degrees Fahrenheit, as reported by The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange (in case of material error)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' The data must be non-preliminary and non-materially-erroneous. The Weather Company's publication (e.g., on weather.com or via their data feed) is the required evidence.
Does not count.
- Preliminary Weather Company data that may be subject to rounding and conversion differences
- Data marked as 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi that is still erroneous (status is for convenience only)
- If no data is available at the end of the period, the market resolves to the last fair price instead of Yes/No
Deadline. The Expiration Date is not specified in the rules, but the event date is Sep 9, 2026. Resolution occurs after the Weather Company publishes the final data, with possible delay if material error.
- maximum temperature — the highest temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for that date
- Miami (CLIMIA) — the weather station identifier for Miami
- The Weather Company — the source for the official temperature reading
- preliminary — data subject to rounding and conversion differences, not final
- material error — determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
None of the cited documents address the Miami high temperature for September 9, 2026, and none are from The Weather Company, so the resolution condition is not established either way.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the maximum temperature at Miami (CLIMIA) for Sep 9, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company, with non-preliminary, non-materially-erroneous data. The provided sources do not contain any Weather Company report of Miami's Sep 9, 2026 maximum temperature.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A The Weather Company publication (e.g., weather.com or Kalshi's weather page) showing the final maximum temperature for Miami (CLIMIA) on Sep 9, 2026, as 89°F or 90°F would establish Yes; a final value outside that range would establish No.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 34d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.