Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 11, 2026? — 88° to 89°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-12T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 32d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) on September 11, 2026, is between 88°F and 89°F (inclusive) according to The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange (in case of material error, discretion to hold expiration until non-erroneous revision or Expiration Date)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value as reported by The Weather Company, specifically the maximum/minimum temperature for that location and date. Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences and should be treated with caution; final data is authoritative. The status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee error-free data.
Does not count.
- Preliminary or unofficial readings not yet finalized by The Weather Company.
- Data from sources other than The Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather).
- Readings at locations other than Miami (CLIMIA).
Deadline. September 11, 2026 (date of measurement); resolution after final data is published and any material error revisions are resolved, but no later than the unspecified 'Expiration Date'.
- Miami (CLIMIA) — Likely the Miami weather station identifier used by The Weather Company (e.g., airport code). Not explicitly defined in rules.
- between 88-89° fahrenheit — Inclusive range: 88°F to 89°F.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The provided evidence consists of weather forecasts and reports for various cities worldwide, but none concern Miami, Florida, or come from The Weather Company. There is no information about the maximum temperature in Miami on September 11, 2026.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the maximum temperature at Miami (CLIMIA) as reported by The Weather Company. None of the provided sources are from The Weather Company, nor do they report the final official temperature for Miami (CLIMIA) on September 11, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A publication from The Weather Company (e.g., weather.com) showing the final official maximum temperature for Miami (CLIMIA) on September 11, 2026. Alternatively, an official Kalshi announcement confirming the resolution.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 32d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.