Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026? — 82° to 83°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-24T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 20d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The market resolves to Yes if the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for September 23, 2026 is between 82-83° Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange (sole discretion for material error and no-data fallback)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value must be the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences; AccuWeather or Google Weather readings do not determine the market. If the Exchange determines a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, expiration may be held until a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
Does not count.
- AccuWeather or Google Weather readings, even if helpful, are not the
Deadline. September 23, 2026, or later if held for a non-materially-erroneous data revision after a material error; if no data is available by the Expiration Date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No source from The Weather Company or any other authority provides the actual maximum temperature in Miami for September 23, 2026. The day is not yet over at the current time (22:13Z), and the NWS page only gives climate normals, not today's reading. Therefore, the condition cannot be confirmed as already met or impossible.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. None of the provided sources include any Weather Company data for Miami on September 23, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A publication by The Weather Company stating the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for September 23, 2026, after the day ends.
Sources it was read from
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 20d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.