Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 7, 2026? — 65° or below
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-08T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 6d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) on Oct 7, 2026 is less than 66°F according to The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange (in case of material error)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value as reported by The Weather Company. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data is not final; the Exchange may delay resolution if there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication.
Does not count.
- Data from sources other than The Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather)
- Preliminary data that is later revised or corrected
- Data that is determined by the Exchange to contain a material error
Deadline. 2026-10-07
- maximum temperature — the highest temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) on the given date
- CLINYC — the location identifier for New York City in The Weather Company's data
- The Weather Company — the official source for the temperature data
- preliminary data — data that may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value
- final value — the non-preliminary publication by The Weather Company
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from the named authority (The Weather Company) regarding the maximum temperature in New York City on October 7, 2026, has been provided.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The resolution requires the official and final maximum temperature from The Weather Company; none of the provided sources are from The Weather Company.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A publication from The Weather Company (e.g., on weather.com) showing the maximum temperature in New York City on October 7, 2026, or a Kalshi Exchange resolution announcement.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 6d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.