polyrag

← Decided

Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 7, 2026? — 77° to 78°

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-08T05:00 · claim page

undecided low confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 7 → 95 in the last 48h bid 0.950 / ask 0.990 1.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for September 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company, is between 77°F and 78°F inclusive.

Named authority. The Weather Company

Form the evidence must take. The official and final value as reported by The Weather Company, specifically the maximum/minimum temperature from the Weather Company data. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data is subject to rounding and conversion differences; the final non-preliminary publication is authoritative.

Does not count.

Deadline. September 7, 2026 (the date of the temperature reading; resolution occurs after non-preliminary publication, but no later than the Expiration Date if a material error is found and corrected; otherwise, the market resolves based on the initial non-preliminary publication or the last fair price if no data is available).

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

No provided evidence addresses the condition: the sources cover weather in other cities/countries or unrelated topics, and none cite The Weather Company's NYC maximum temperature for September 7, 2026.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official and final maximum temperature for NYC (CLINYC) on Sep 7, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. None of the provided sources report any Weather Company NYC temperature value for that date.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

A Weather Company report or data publication showing the official final maximum temperature at CLINYC for September 7, 2026, establishing whether it is between 77°F and 78°F inclusive.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
5-Day Weather Forecast September 7th, 2026 ↗
Overview: Seasonable temperatures and dry skies dominate the week, with chances of rain on Wednesday, and some could be severe. Today: A beautiful Labor Day is ahead of Milwaukee, with morning temperatures of 71 degrees and partly cloudy skies. Dew points and wind speeds will also be low, providing
Chennai Weather Forecast & Update for Today, Tuesday, 08 September 2026: Mainly Clear Skies, High of 36°C ↗
Chennai's weather on Tuesday, 08 September 2026, will be predominantly clear with a high temperature of 36°C. Expect a humid day with an 84% humidity level, and the 'feels like' temperature reaching 34°C. Light drizzle is possible in the afternoon, with a chance of rain peaking at 37%.
Delhi Weather Forecast & Update for Today, Monday, 07 September 2026: Expect Overcast Skies and High Humidity, High of 26°C ↗
Delhi weather today, Monday, September 07, 2026, features overcast skies with a high of 26°C and a low of 24°C. Humidity will be notably high at 92%, making the perceived temperature feel warmer. A slight chance of rain develops in the afternoon.
Chennai Weather Forecast & Update for Today, Monday, 07 September 2026: Mainly Clear with High Humidity and Chance of Drizzle, High of 35°C ↗
Chennai's weather on Monday, 07 September 2026, will be predominantly clear and humid, with the temperature reaching a high of 35°C and feeling like 35°C due to 88% humidity. A brief period of light drizzle is possible in the afternoon, though overall chances of rain remain low. Winds will be gentle
Cobb climate summary & weather forecast for Monday, September 7, 2026 ↗
The National Weather Service forecasts partly sunny skies here in Cobb County on Monday, September 7, 2026, with a high near 85 degrees. The National Weather Service has issued a... The post Cobb climate summary & weather forecast for Monday, September 7, 2026 appeared first on Cobb Courier .
Monday Morning News – September 7 ↗
Weather: Today – A mix of sun and cloud. High 24. Humidex 26. UV index 6 or high. Tonight – Cloudy. 30% chance of showers this evening. Low 14.
City records 34.2°C on Sept. 6 ↗
Matches Sept. 15, 2018 temperature Mysuru: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) observatory in Mysuru city recorded a maximum temperature of 34.2°C yesterday (Sept. 6) matching the city’s highest-ever maximum temperature for September, recorded on Sept. 15, 2018. The minimum temperature was 19.

Adjudicated 36d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.