Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026? — 84° or below
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-11T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 33d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for September 10, 2026, is less than 85° Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final maximum temperature value as reported by The Weather Company for CLINYC on September 10, 2026. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data, rounding, and conversion differences are not final. A status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only and does not guarantee error-free data.
Does not count.
- Preliminary Weather Company data subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Data from sources other than The Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather).
- A status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi does not guarantee error-free data and may still be subject to revision if a material error is determined.
Deadline. September 10, 2026 (the date of the event; resolution may occur after publication of final data, with possible delays for material error revisions or until the expiration date, whichever comes first)
- maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) — The highest temperature measured at the CLINYC weather station, as reported by The Weather Company.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from The Weather Company about the maximum temperature at CLINYC on September 10, 2026, has been provided. All retrieved documents concern other locations or general forecasts.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official and final maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company for CLINYC. None of the sources are from The Weather Company or mention New York City.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
An official report from The Weather Company stating the final maximum temperature for CLINYC on September 10, 2026, e.g., a page on weather.com/kalshi or a direct statement from The Weather Company.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 33d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.