Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 21, 2026? — 70° to 71°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-22T05:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 22d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) on September 21, 2026, is between 70°F and 71°F inclusive, according to the final non‑erroneous publication by The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value as reported by The Weather Company. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data is subject to rounding/conversion; final reported value governs. The status 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience only and does not guarantee error‑free data.
Does not count.
- Data from AccuWeather, Google Weather, or any source other than The Weather Company
- Preliminary Weather Company data that differs from the final reported value
- Data subject to an unresolved material error in the initial non‑preliminary publication
Deadline. 2026-09-21 (the expiration date; final data may be published shortly after, subject to material error correction period)
- CLINYC — New York City weather station identifier
- The Weather Company — the sole authorized data source for this market
- maximum temperature — the highest temperature recorded for that day
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
None of the evidence references New York City, September 21, 2026, or The Weather Company's official temperature reading, so the condition cannot be established from the provided materials.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the maximum temperature at New York City (CLINYC) on September 21, 2026, to be between 70°F and 71°F as reported by The Weather Company. The provided sources contain no relevant data from The Weather Company about New York City's temperature on that date; they cover unrelated locations and sources.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A final, non-erroneous publication by The Weather Company reporting the maximum temperature at CLINYC on September 21, 2026, as between 70°F and 71°F inclusive, or data clearly attributed to that authority establishing otherwise.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 22d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.