polyrag

← Decided

Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 22, 2026? — 67° to 68°

kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-23T05:00 · claim page

undecided high confidence not the named source buy YES price moved 11 → 94 in the last 48h bid 0.940 / ask 0.980 2.0c residual

Was there ever a window?

Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.

What the contract requires

Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Sep 22, 2026, is between 67 and 68 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive according to The Weather Company.

Named authority. The Weather Company

Form the evidence must take. The maximum/minimum temperature as reported by The Weather Company, specifically the official non-preliminary publication. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data is not final; caution is advised regarding rounding and conversion differences. If a material error is determined, the Exchange may wait for a corrected non-materially-erroneous publication or the Expiration Date.

Does not count.

Deadline. Expiration Date (not specified in rules, but occurs after Sep 22, 2026, and may be delayed if material error is found; if no data is available by then, resolves to last fair price)

This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.

What the sources establish

None of the provided sources contain The Weather Company's official maximum temperature for New York City on September 22, 2026. The only NYC-related item is a warnings/advisories notice, which does not state the daily maximum temperature.

The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official non-preliminary maximum temperature for CLINYC on Sep 22, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. No retrieved source reports any New York City temperature from The Weather Company, so the required form is not established.

The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.

The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.

An official The Weather Company non-preliminary report for CLINYC showing the September 22, 2026 maximum temperature was 67°F or 68°F, or a statement from The Weather Company giving that value. Without that, the market remains undecided.

Sources it was read from

8 retrieved but not cited
Nice : prévisions météo du mardi 22 septembre 2026 ↗
À Nice, la journée du mardi 22 septembre 2026 sera douce avec un ciel partagé entre éclaircies et nuages légers. Les températures évolueront agréablement autour de 23 à 26 °C, sans risque de pluie.
North Country Weather: Tuesday, Sept. 22, 2026 ↗
A good-looking first day of fall for Norther New York.
North Country Evening Weather: Tuesday, Sept. 22, 2026 ↗
Here's your first night of fall forecast for Northern New York.
Warm Weekend with 30C Maximum Daytime Temperatures – Western Sydney 19 and 20 September 2026 ↗
During September, 30C maximum daytime temperatures can occur throughout Sydney and especially across the western parts of the city. However, there are years where such days are missing such as what occurred during 2022. As such, 30C maximum daytime temperatures are not recorded every year during Sep
Delhi-NCR to remain dry as IMD forecasts clear skies; mercury to touch 34 degree Celsius ↗
Delhi-NCR to remain dry as IMD forecasts clear skies; mercury to touch 34 degree CelsiusSeptember 22, 2026New Delhi, Sep 22 (IANS) The national Capital is likely to witness clear skies and relatively pleasant weather on Tuesday, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasting a minimum te

Adjudicated 21d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.