Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 1, 2026? — 67° to 68°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 12d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 1, 2026, is between 67 and 68 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive, as reported by The Weather Company.
Named authority. the Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Preliminary data subject to rounding and conversion differences; final non-preliminary publication governs. If a material error is detected, resolution may await a non-materially-erroneous revision.
Does not count.
- Data from sources other than The Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather) is not determinative.
- Preliminary data that is not yet final.
- Data from a different station or location not labeled CLIMSP.
Deadline. After the final non-preliminary publication of the Weather Company data for October 1, 2026, or upon the occurrence of a material error correction; if no data is available by the expiration date, the market resolves to the last fair price. The specific expiration date is not stated in the rules.
- maximum temperature — The highest temperature recorded at the Minneapolis station (CLIMSP) on the given date.
- CLIMSP — The weather station identifier for Minneapolis used by The Weather Company.
- preliminary data — Initial readings that may differ from the final reported value due to rounding or conversion.
- material error — An error in the initial non-preliminary publication that, in the Exchange's sole discretion, warrants holding expiration until a corrected revision.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence in the supplied sources addresses the maximum temperature in Minneapolis on October 1, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. The day is still ongoing, and no final data from the named authority is available.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company for Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 1, 2026. No evidence from The Weather Company or any source about Minneapolis temperature is provided.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A publication from The Weather Company showing the final non-preliminary maximum temperature at Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 1, 2026, between 67 and 68°F inclusive, or a statement that no data is available by the deadline.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.