Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 7, 2026? — 85° to 86°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-08T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 36d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on September 7, 2026, is between 85 and 86 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive, as reported by The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final maximum temperature value as reported by The Weather Company (e.g., on weather.com/kalshi or their data feed). The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data subject to rounding and conversion differences does not count; only the final non-preliminary publication is authoritative.
Does not count.
- Data from sources other than The Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather).
- Preliminary Weather Company data that differs from the final reported value due to rounding or conversion.
- Data that is later determined to be materially erroneous and corrected before expiration; the corrected final value is used.
Deadline. Expiration Date as determined by Kalshi (after September 7, 2026, when final data is published); if a material error is found, expiration may be held until a corrected publication or the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
- maximum temperature — The highest temperature recorded on that date at the Minneapolis station (CLIMSP).
- between 85-86° fahrenheit — Inclusive range, i.e., 85°F ≤ temperature ≤ 86°F.
- CLIMSP — The weather station identifier for Minneapolis used by The Weather Company.
- The Weather Company — The sole data provider for this market; also referred to as 'Weather Company'.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from The Weather Company regarding the maximum temperature in Minneapolis on September 7, 2026 has been provided. All sources are either forecasts for other locations or unrelated alerts. The day is still ongoing, so the condition cannot be determined yet.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official final maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company (e.g., on weather.com/kalshi or their data feed). None of the provided sources are from The Weather Company or report the Minneapolis CLIMSP maximum temperature for September 7, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A publication from The Weather Company (e.g., weather.com or their data feed) showing the final maximum temperature for Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on September 7, 2026, that falls within 85-86°F (for already_yes) or outside that range (for already_no).
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 36d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.