Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 1, 2026? — 78° or below
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 12d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-26T23:45:02
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Oklahoma City (CLIOKC) on Oct 1, 2026 is less than 79°F, i.e., 78°F or below, according to The Weather Company's final non-preliminary data.
Named authority. The Weather Company (via weather.com/kalshi)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company, as indicated on weather.com/kalshi with a status of 'Final'. Preliminary data subject to rounding and conversion differences is not authoritative. The Exchange may delay resolution if a material error is found in the initial non-preliminary publication.
Does not count.
- Preliminary Weather Company data that may be subject to rounding and conversion differences
- Data from sources other than The Weather Company (e.g., AccuWeather, Google Weather)
Deadline. Expiration Date (unspecified in rules); data publication follows Oct 1, 2026, with resolution waiting for non-preliminary publication or until Expiration Date.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
All retrieved sources concern other locations or general seasonal averages, not the actual Oct 1, 2026 high temperature in Oklahoma City from the named authority. The deadline has not yet passed, so the condition is not established either way.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official final maximum temperature for Oklahoma City (CLIOKC) from The Weather Company, shown with a status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi. None of the supplied sources report any Oklahoma City temperature, let alone the Weather Company's final non-preliminary data.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The Weather Company's final non-preliminary CLIOKC high-temperature value for Oct 1, 2026, published as 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi, showing 78°F or below (yes) or 79°F or above (no).
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
6 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.