Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 5, 2026? — 97° to 98°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-06T07:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 8d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 5, 2026, is between 97 and 98 degrees Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, as reflected in the final non-preliminary Weather Company report.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange (sole discretion for material errors in initial non-preliminary publication)
Form the evidence must take. The value must be the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by The Weather Company; preliminary Weather Company data is not final and may be subject to rounding and conversion differences. The official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company, with weather.com/kalshi statuses provided for convenience only and not guaranteeing error-free data.
Does not count.
- AccuWeather or Google Weather readings, even if they guide a decision
- Preliminary Weather Company readings subject to rounding or conversion differences
- A materially erroneous initial non-preliminary publication if later revised
Deadline. The Expiration Date, as defined by the Exchange; the event date is Oct 5, 2026
- maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) — Not defined further in the excerpt; the record must be for Phoenix under station identifier CLIPHX.
- between 97-98° fahrenheit — The rule states 'between 97-98° fahrenheit' without specifying inclusivity; the Weather Company's reported value must fall in that range.
- preliminary Weather Company data — May be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Final on weather.com/kalshi — Provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the material-error provision.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from The Weather Company or any other source provides the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix on Oct 5, 2026. The condition cannot be confirmed or denied.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The resolution requires the maximum temperature for Phoenix (CLIPHX) on Oct 5, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company in its final non-preliminary report. None of the provided sources contain such a report or any temperature reading for Phoenix on that date.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A final non-preliminary report from The Weather Company showing the maximum temperature at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on Oct 5, 2026, falling between 97 and 98 degrees Fahrenheit.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.