Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 6, 2026? — 97° to 98°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-07T07:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 7d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 6, 2026, is between 97 and 98 degrees Fahrenheit inclusive, as reported by The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange (in case of material error)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value as reported by The Weather Company, specifically the maximum temperature for that date and location. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences; the final non-preliminary publication is authoritative unless the Exchange determines a material error.
Does not count.
- Preliminary Weather Company data that is later revised or subject to rounding/conversion differences
- Data from AccuWeather, Google Weather, or any source other than The Weather Company
- Data that the Exchange determines to contain a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication
Deadline. October 6, 2026 (the date of the temperature reading; resolution may occur after publication of final data, with possible extension for error correction until the Expiration Date)
- maximum temperature — The highest temperature recorded at the specified location for the given date, as reported by The Weather Company.
- Phoenix (CLIPHX) — The weather station identifier for Phoenix, Arizona, used by The Weather Company.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from The Weather Company or any authoritative source shows the actual maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) on October 6, 2026. The only possibly relevant source (source 5) is a forecast, not a recorded value.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the official and final maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. None of the provided sources contain such a report; they are either forecasts, unrelated locations, or general weather news.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A publication from The Weather Company (e.g., on weather.com or via their data feed) stating the official maximum temperature for Phoenix on October 6, 2026, and confirming it is between 97 and 98°F inclusive.
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 7d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.