Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 8, 2026? — 104° to 105°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-09T07:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 5d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 8, 2026, is between 104-105° Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value must be the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. Preliminary Weather Company data is not final; AccuWeather and Google Weather do not count. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.'
Does not count.
- AccuWeather or Google Weather data, which may help guide decisions but are not official
- Preliminary Weather Company data, which may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value
- A status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi, which is provided for convenience only and does not guarantee data to be error-free
Deadline. Expiration Date (the market is for Oct 8, 2026; the rules refer to the Expiration Date without specifying a calendar date)
- Phoenix (CLIPHX) — The weather station identifier for Phoenix used in the market.
- between 104-105° fahrenheit — The maximum temperature range that would make the market resolve Yes, as reported by The Weather Company.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence provides the maximum temperature in Phoenix on Oct 8, 2026, from The Weather Company, as required by the resolution criteria.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. None of the provided sources are from The Weather Company or report the official data for Phoenix on Oct 8, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A report from The Weather Company showing the maximum temperature at Phoenix (CLIPHX) for Oct 8, 2026, between 104-105°F, or a report showing it outside that range, would settle this market.
Sources it was read from
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 5d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.