Highest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 1, 2026? — 84° or below
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-02T06:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 12d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at San Antonio (CLISAT) on October 1, 2026, is less than 85°F (i.e., 84°F or below) according to The Weather Company's final non-preliminary publication.
Named authority. The Weather Company; Kalshi Exchange (in case of material error)
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value is the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company, specifically the non-preliminary publication. The rules state: 'the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.' Preliminary data is not final. A status of 'Final' on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience but does not guarantee error-free data.
Does not count.
- Data from AccuWeather, Google Weather, or any source other than The Weather Company.
- Preliminary Weather Company data (before final publication).
- Data that is later determined to have a material error (the Exchange may delay resolution for a corrected publication).
- A 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi that is later found to be erroneous (the Exchange retains discretion).
Deadline. Not explicitly stated in the rules; typically the Expiration Date set by Kalshi, which is after October 1, 2026, and may be extended if a material error is found until a corrected publication or the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
- maximum temperature — The highest temperature recorded at the station for that day.
- CLISAT — The station identifier for San Antonio.
- The Weather Company — The company that provides the official weather data for this market.
- preliminary — Initial data that may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence in the supplied sources shows the actual recorded maximum temperature at San Antonio on October 1, 2026, from The Weather Company or any other authoritative source. The condition cannot be assessed without that data.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The rules require the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company in its final non-preliminary publication. None of the provided sources contain any such publication or data from The Weather Company regarding San Antonio's temperature on October 1, 2026.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
The Weather Company's final non-preliminary publication (e.g., on weather.com or via Kalshi) showing the maximum temperature at San Antonio (CLISAT) on October 1, 2026, being 84°F or below (for 'already_yes') or above 84°F (for 'already_no').
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 12d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.