Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 23, 2026? — 77° to 78°
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-24T08:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 20d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. The maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 23, 2026, is between 77° and 78° Fahrenheit, inclusive, according to The Weather Company.
Named authority. The Weather Company
Form the evidence must take. The official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company. The data must be reported by The Weather Company (e.g., via weather.com or their official data feeds). Preliminary data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences; final reported value governs.
Does not count.
- Data from AccuWeather or Google Weather (may guide decision but not final)
- Preliminary Weather Company data that differs from final reported value
- Materially erroneous non-preliminary publication (subject to correction)
Deadline. 2026-09-23 (and subsequent data revision period if material error; if no data available by Expiration Date, markets resolve to last fair price)
- between 77-78° fahrenheit — includes endpoints 77 and 78 degrees Fahrenheit
- maximum temperature — the highest temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for that date as per The Weather Company
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
No evidence from The Weather Company or any other source provides the actual maximum temperature at San Francisco (CLISFO) for September 23, 2026.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the maximum temperature as reported by The Weather Company (e.g., via weather.com or official data feeds). None of the provided sources contain such a report.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
A report from The Weather Company (weather.com or official data feed) showing the maximum temperature at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 23, 2026, either between 77-78°F (to resolve Yes) or outside that range (to resolve No).
Sources it was read from
8 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 20d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.