Russia vs Nigeria
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-08T17:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 7d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-06T15:03:56
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Russia wins the Russia vs Nigeria professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Does not count.
- Russia wins after extra time or penalties
- Match ends in a tie
- Match is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away
Deadline. 2026-10-06
- after 90 minutes plus stoppage time — does not include extra time or penalties
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The match took place on October 6, 2026, and ended in a 3-3 draw (per multiple sources).
Multiple credible sources report that the match ended in a 3-3 draw, meaning Russia did not win. No source indicates a Russian victory.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 5d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.