China vs Palestine: Spread — Palestine wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-04T11:35 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. the cited sources carry no publication date.
- Price reached near-certainty: 11d ago
- Earliest cited source published: undated
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Palestine wins by more than 1.5 goals (goal difference of at least 2) in the China vs Palestine professional international friendly soccer game originally scheduled for October 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Does not count.
- Extra time and penalties do not count
- Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts
- Must be the professional international friendly game originally scheduled for Oct 2, 2026; if the game is not played or is a different competition, it does not count
Deadline. 2026-10-02
- win by more than 1.5 goals — goal difference > 1.5, i.e., at least 2 goals
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
China 0-5 Palestine on 2 October 2026 in an international friendly
Multiple reliable sources (ESPN, Sofascore, etc.) confirm that Palestine defeated China 5-0 on 2 October 2026, a goal difference of 5 which exceeds the required 1.5 goals.
Sources it was read from · 4 cited
4 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 10d ago · retrieval: newsrag, pg search. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.