When will Oura officially announce an IPO? — Before Oct 1, 2026
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-01T03:59 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
The evidence appeared before the market moved. the evidence appeared before the market moved.
- Price reached near-certainty: 22d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-21T15:45:23
- Price as shown: not current — not adjudicated. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Oura Health Oy has an IPO confirmed by the SEC declaring its Form S-1 effective, or the IPO is priced, or a securities exchange assigns a ticker to it, all occurring before October 1, 2026.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Does not count.
- Any announcement or indication of an IPO that does not satisfy at least one of the three defined confirmation events
- Events occurring on or after October 1, 2026
Deadline. 2026-10-01 (event must occur before this date)
- IPO confirmed — 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it
The venue's own resolution text, verbatim
If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2026.
What the sources establish
Oura has launched its IPO roadshow, filed an updated S-1, and set a price range of $40-$44 per share as of September 23, 2026, but no SEC declaration of S-1 effectiveness, final IPO pricing, or exchange ticker assignment has been reported.
The resolution criteria require a specific confirming event (SEC declaring S-1 effective, IPO priced, or ticker assigned). The evidence shows Oura is in the process of an IPO (roadshow, S-1 filing, price range) but none of the three defined confirmation events have been reported to have occurred.
Sources it was read from · 8 cited
Adjudicated 20d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.