Almeria vs Burgos
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-10-05T14:15 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 10d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-10-03T16:45:45
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Almeria wins the Almeria vs Burgos professional La Liga 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties, and the game is not cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away.
Named authority. None named; the Governing League is referenced only in a non-affiliation disclaimer, not as the deciding source
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified by the rules; no named publisher, medium, or documentary requirement is specified. The outcome is simply that 'Almeria wins' after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded.
Does not count.
- A Burgos win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- A tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- A result determined by extra time
- A result determined by penalties
- Game cancelled
- Game rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original schedule
Deadline. 2026-10-03 (original scheduled date); if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market resolves to a fair price instead
- Almeria wins — Almeria leads after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties do not count
- Tie — The game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (relevant to the separate Tie market, not this Almeria-win market)
- cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away — Triggers fair-price resolution under the rules
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Almeria defeated Burgos 2-1 in their La Liga 2 / LaLiga Hypermotion match on October 3, 2026, with Almeria scoring the winning goals in the 77th and 84th minutes; multiple Spanish sports outlets reported the 2-1 final score.
The contract asks simply whether Almeria won the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; the evidence directly and consistently shows Almeria beat Burgos 2-1 on the scheduled date, with no indication of extra time or penalties.
Sources it was read from · 3 cited
5 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 8d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.