Necaxa vs America: Spread — America wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-30T03:00 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 15d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-28T05:25:03
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. America wins by more than 1.5 goals (i.e., a margin of at least 2 goals) over Necaxa in the professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, counting only the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties.
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified by the provided rules; the outcome must show the scoreline at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time for the Necaxa vs America Liga MX game. No particular publication or official source is named in the rules.
Does not count.
- Goals scored in extra time do not count.
- Goals scored in a penalty shootout do not count.
- America winning by exactly 1 goal, drawing, or losing does not satisfy 'more than 1.5 goals'.
Deadline. 2026-09-27 (original scheduled date of the match; the condition is determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time of that game)
- America wins by more than 1.5 goals — America's goal total minus Necaxa's goal total is greater than 1.5, meaning America must win by at least 2 goals.
- 90 minutes plus stoppage time — Regulation time including added time; it does not include extra time or penalties.
- game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 — The Necaxa vs America professional Liga MX fixture identified by that original scheduling date.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
Club América defeated Necaxa 4-2 in the Liga MX match originally scheduled for September 27, 2026, according to a match report published September 28, 2026.
The evidence directly reports a 4-2 América victory, a margin of 2 goals, which satisfies the condition of winning by more than 1.5 goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 14d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.