Baltimore vs New York M
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-18T23:10 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
Unknown. we have no price history for this contract, so we cannot say whether the market moved before or after the evidence appeared.
- Price reached near-certainty: not recorded — we hold no price history for this contract, which is itself the reason the question cannot be answered
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-16T03:17:05
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. New York M wins the Baltimore vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT.
Form the evidence must take. unspecified
Does not count.
- Game cancelled
- Game rescheduled to more than two days after the original date
Deadline. originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, but if postponed or delayed, market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days); if cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, resolves earlier to a fair price
- New York M — the New York Mets professional baseball team (MLB)
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The Mets lost to the Orioles 7-5 in 11 innings on September 15, 2026.
Multiple independent sources (AP photo caption, news article, and a Newsweek report) confirm that the New York Mets lost to the Baltimore Orioles 7-5 on September 15, 2026, so the condition 'New York M wins' is false.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 26d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.