Los Angeles A vs A's
kalshi · open the market ↗ · closes 2026-09-26T01:40 · claim page
Was there ever a window?
No — the market moved before the evidence. the market reached near-certainty BEFORE the earliest cited source, so there was no window: the price moved first.
- Price reached near-certainty: 21d ago
- Earliest cited source published: 2026-09-23T05:01:26
- Price as shown: not current — the venue is not quoting a live offer. The residual below is from the last sweep and may have closed since.
What the contract requires
Condition. Los Angeles A wins the professional baseball game against A's originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, as played (including any postponement within two days).
Named authority. Governing League
Form the evidence must take. Unspecified; the outcome is determined by the official result of the professional baseball game as governed by the Governing League.
Does not count.
- Game cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date.
Deadline. The game must be played within two days of Sep 22, 2026 (i.e., by Sep 24, 2026). If not played within that window, the market resolves to a fair price.
This venue published no resolution text for this contract, so the condition above is inferred from the question alone.
What the sources establish
The Oakland Athletics defeated the Los Angeles Angels 9-7 on September 22, 2026, as reported by Medicine Hat News citing MLB scores.
The evidence shows the game was played on September 22 and the Los Angeles A (Angels) lost 9-7 to the A's. This meets the condition of a game within the two-day window. However, the source is not an official league publication, so the authority requirement is not strictly satisfied. Nonetheless, the reported score is consistent and no contrary evidence exists.
The evidence is not in the form this contract requires. The contract requires the official result as governed by the Governing League (likely MLB). The evidence from [8] is a news article reporting scores, not an official MLB source. The outcome is clear but the authority is not directly cited.
The event may well have happened. This contract does not resolve on that alone.
The named authority has not established this. The sources below report the event; the contract resolves on what its named source says.
An official MLB.com or Governing League page showing the final score of the Athletics vs. Angels game on September 22, 2026, confirming the Angels loss.
Sources it was read from · 1 cited
7 retrieved but not cited
Adjudicated 19d ago · retrieval: newsrag. This is a reading of retrieved documents by a language model, not a settlement. The venue's named authority is the only thing that resolves a market, and it is often slower than the news.